The Uncertainty Handbook

This new collaboration between COIN and the University of Bristol is a practical guide for climate change communicator on this most tricky of topics.

UHB-Cover-200-280Have you ever struggled with the communication of climate change uncertainties? Are you frustrated by climate sceptics using uncertainty – inherent in any area of complex science – as a justification for delaying policy responses? Then our new handbook (a collaboration between Dr Adam Corner, Professor Stephan Lewandowsky, Dr Mary Philips and Olga Roberts) is for you.

Download the handbook to learn more about 12 practical and easy-to apply principles for smarter communication about climate change uncertainties. And sign up for the webinar taking you through the key findings here.



1 thought on “The Uncertainty Handbook”

  1. You say in your handbook that “About 97% of climate scientists agree that climate change is happening and is caused by humans.”

    Could you clarify for me please:

    1. Does this refer to a strong statement that ‘most’ or ‘all’ observed climate change is due to CO2 emissions? Or the much weaker statement that ‘some’ climate change is – a statement that even most climate sceptics would agree with?

    2. Can you give a reference to the statistically valid survey of climate scientists’ opinions (as opposed to literature surveys) where this 97% result can be found? I’m particularly interested in what methodology they used to ensure an independent sample.

    3. Does the survey also determine on what evidence they based their opinions? For example, did they examine the empirical evidence and its quantified uncertainty analysis themselves, or did they take the IPCC’s word for it like any lay member of the general public could? Not all climate scientists are specialists in detection/attribution studies, after all.


    PS. I tried your suggested ‘conversation’ technique – but the ‘conversation’ didn’t go quite as depicted on p15 of your pamphlet. They seemed to think that just because I was citing ‘Science’ as an authority, I’d therefore be able to back my statements up with quantifiable evidence! Ridiculous, I’m sure you’d agree! Nevertheless, I’d be grateful if you could tell me what to say in the face of such demands…

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